Chapter : The Failure of Economic Theories
Writer : Hendri Tanjung,
Posted on : The Jakarta Post on Wed, February 04 2009
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Resumed by M. Maulana Hamzah
The fundamental reason for the
failure of economic theory is an assumption that people are purely selfish. In
conventional theory it calls as economic man. But, in fact people actually do
care about fairness and they do behave in reciprocal way. It is proved by the
rejected of ultimatum game where the hypothesis predict most people accept the
low offers than zero. This game also proved that both proposer and responder
care about justice in transaction.
The failure of this assumption can
be seen from global crisis in 2008. The crisis began from an idea that housing
investment was safe investment, high return and improbable to collapse. This
idea leads people to buy many houses and led the broker to build more. This
affected a very big need of loans. Then banks as the financial institution give
more lending without calculated the underlying assets. In the end, bubble of
housing supply made the price fall down. And expected return from investment is
minus. And it causes loss domino’s effect even from consumers, brokers, banks
and investors.
Another reason or this failure is
having a wrong model of the world economy. Actually, one of the mistakes in
Western theory is that it narrowly focuses on the observers to the exclusion of
everything else. It seems the economic model as social science has emerged from
imitating physical science. Both are have different objects. From this point we
may say the theory and the economist have the same character, it was selfish.
It is also caused many kinds of selfish behavior, like corruption, manipulation
and collusion.
And the last reason is taking too
much trust to mathematical approach to predict economic theory. Mathematic is
an exact science meanwhile economic is originally comes from social science. So
it can’t be predicted exactly only by mathematic. Because every country has
their own value and habit. There is a sense of humanity that was forgotten to
be calculated, such as charity and social needs.
In the end this article suggest the
scholars especially who focused in study of economy to build new economic
theories based on generosity.
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